Todo

  • Go back and understand "2.4 - Reliability Analysis"

Theorems

Theorem 2.8

The probability of n0 failures and n1 successes in n=n0+n1 independent trials is

P[En0,n1]=(nn1)(1p)nn1pn1=(nn0)(1p)n0pnn0
Abstract

The intuition here is that we


Theorem 2.9

P[En0,,nm1]=(nn0,,nm1)p0n0pm1nm1.

Notation

For a sequential experiment En0,n1. The first n0 denotes the number of failures, and n1 denotes the number of successes such that there are n=n0+n1 trials.

Definitions

Tree Diagrams

Tree diagrams display the outcome of sub-experiments in a sequential experiment. The probability of an outcome in some sequential experiment is the product of the branches (each of which contain probabilities to the subsequent result) going from the root to the leaf.


Independent Trials

Independent trials are identical sub-experiments in a sequential experiment. The probability models of all sub-experiments are identical and the experiments are independent of the results of previous experiments. Sampling with replacement would fall under this category.